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Red23
875810.7
92595.1
264213.8
Blue27
205915.2
842914.2
33494.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362701020405060702327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.81.1
16.915.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End0.8
blue by 1.4
15.20.2
9.39.5
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Second
8758
#11
10.71.1
10.69.4
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 3.5
14.20.2
9.19.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Third
9259
#24
5.11.1
3.82.6
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End1.2
red by 0.7
3349
#16
4.40.2
7.17.3
Auto4.1
Teleop-0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed