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Red25
875810.7
650213.1
88043.3
Blue55
58712.3
600412.9
51908.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2829102040502555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#10
13.10.4
13.613.2
Auto1.6
Teleop8.5
End3.0
red by 0.2
12.91.2
10.411.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
Second
8758
#11
10.70.4
9.08.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 1.6
587
#17
12.31.2
8.39.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Third
8804
#27
3.30.4
3.22.8
Auto0.9
Teleop1.6
End0.8
blue by 4.9
5190
#20
8.21.2
6.88.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed