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Red33
264213.8
789014.7
76711.1
Blue48
651211.9
87468.6
4354.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342601020304050603348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7890
#14
14.70.1
14.915.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
red by 2.9
6512
#12
11.90.3
11.511.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Second
13.80.1
13.713.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 5.3
8746
#25
8.60.3
8.58.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Third
7671
#30
1.10.1
1.01.1
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.6
End0.2
blue by 3.5
435
#13
4.60.3
4.54.8
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed