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Red50
600412.9
205915.2
56077.5
Blue44
90019.7
48166.2
34899.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35352025304045505044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.21.4
14.015.3
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 4.5
900
#7
19.70.9
18.319.2
Auto10.3
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Second
12.91.4
11.613.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
red by 3.7
3489
#19
9.20.9
7.88.7
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Third
5607
#15
7.51.4
6.17.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.2
red by 1.2
4816
#26
6.20.9
5.36.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed