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Red34
33494.4
651211.9
789014.7
Blue42
80905.6
482918.6
322911.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34370102030506070803442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7890
#14
14.70.2
15.015.2
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 3.8
18.60.6
17.418.0
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.6
Second
6512
#12
11.90.2
11.812.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.9
End2.5
red by 0.3
11.60.6
11.011.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Third
3349
#16
4.40.2
4.54.7
Auto4.1
Teleop-0.6
End0.8
blue by 1.2
8090
#23
5.60.6
5.05.6
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed