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Red6
76711.1
62400.8
4354.6
Blue46
88043.3
91506.6
92595.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6170102030405060646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#13
4.60.1
4.84.7
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End1.6
blue by 2.0
9150
#22
6.60.5
6.57.1
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Second
7671
#30
1.10.1
1.11.1
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.6
End0.2
blue by 4.0
9259
#24
5.10.5
4.55.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Third
6240
#28
0.80.1
0.80.8
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
blue by 2.6
8804
#27
3.30.5
2.83.3
Auto0.9
Teleop1.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned