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Red21
43601.5
858613.0
702818.8
Blue40
313418.0
957619.2
305816.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35371020304050602140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#45
18.82.4
16.313.9
Auto9.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
blue by 0.4
9576
#15
19.212.3
21.79.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End2.0
Second
8586
#43
13.02.4
7.24.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End0.6
blue by 4.9
3134
#13
18.00.3
11.912.2
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Third
4360
#56
1.52.4
9.47.0
Auto0.0
Teleop1.2
End0.3
blue by 15.4
3058
#25
16.90.3
11.311.6
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed