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Red75
453619.0
617521.0
331310.3
Blue27
327516.1
327812.2
42389.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38341020305060707527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6175
#22
21.03.4
10.614.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End1.3
red by 4.9
3275
#23
16.10.5
12.111.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Second
4536
#17
19.03.4
11.715.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.5
red by 6.7
3278
#16
12.20.5
8.68.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.0
End0.3
Third
3313
#33
10.33.4
11.915.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End1.4
red by 0.8
4238
#53
9.50.5
10.410.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed