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Red59
38718.9
245014.1
327627.7
Blue46
87632.5
64538.4
557613.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374402060801005946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.72.8
13.816.6
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End1.0
blue by 4.9
876
#2
32.50.6
18.218.8
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End3.0
Second
2450
#10
14.12.8
10.613.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.1
End1.8
red by 1.1
5576
#48
13.00.6
10.911.5
Auto6.1
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Third
3871
#51
8.92.8
9.512.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End-0.0
red by 0.5
6453
#28
8.40.6
9.510.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed