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Red38
704812.5
313418.0
331310.3
Blue48
305816.9
64538.4
466315.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423920305060703848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
#13
18.00.0
12.212.2
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5
red by 1.1
3058
#25
16.91.4
11.613.0
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End1.6
Second
7048
#37
12.50.0
10.410.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End0.7
blue by 2.7
4663
#26
15.11.4
13.915.2
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Third
3313
#33
10.30.0
15.315.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End1.4
red by 2.0
6453
#28
8.41.4
10.111.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed