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Red26
947414.3
329811.6
818818.5
Blue51
725720.5
419815.1
704812.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3646102030405060702651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8188
#36
18.51.4
11.910.5
Auto8.5
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 2.0
20.50.7
14.014.7
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Second
9474
#20
14.31.4
12.210.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End2.6
blue by 0.8
15.10.7
15.716.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Third
3298
#29
11.61.4
9.98.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 0.8
7048
#37
12.50.7
10.411.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed