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Red73
467416.8
974519.2
87632.5
Blue25
565811.2
43601.5
327516.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions472801020406070807325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#2
32.53.7
18.822.5
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End3.0
red by 16.5
3275
#23
16.10.5
11.711.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Second
9745
#21
19.23.7
10.514.2
Auto11.9
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 8.0
5658
#49
11.20.5
9.08.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Third
4674
#18
16.83.7
10.614.3
Auto7.2
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 15.3
4360
#56
1.50.5
7.06.5
Auto0.0
Teleop1.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed