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Red51
327812.2
88784.8
517224.4
Blue60
327627.7
304211.1
64538.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4150102030607080905160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#11
24.40.2
18.618.4
Auto6.4
Teleop17.2
End0.9
blue by 3.2
27.71.2
19.921.1
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Second
3278
#16
12.20.2
11.511.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.0
End0.3
red by 1.2
3042
#47
11.11.2
12.814.0
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Third
8878
#55
4.80.2
8.07.8
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End1.0
blue by 3.5
6453
#28
8.41.2
11.512.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed