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Red74
453619.0
423918.9
25498.3
Blue18
329811.6
72358.4
704812.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4230010205060707418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#17
19.00.9
15.015.9
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.5
red by 6.5
7048
#37
12.51.1
11.19.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End0.7
Second
18.90.9
14.215.1
Auto7.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
red by 7.2
3298
#29
11.61.1
8.47.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Third
2549
#50
8.30.9
7.07.9
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End0.4
blue by 0.1
7235
#32
8.41.1
8.87.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed