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Red28
66289.7
38718.9
265413.9
Blue47
331310.3
453921.3
253022.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3658020801002847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2654
#34
13.90.8
13.512.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.5
End1.5
blue by 8.3
22.20.3
18.618.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End3.1
Second
6628
#41
9.70.8
10.39.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End0.3
blue by 11.7
4539
#30
21.30.3
15.615.4
Auto8.5
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Third
3871
#51
8.90.8
11.710.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End-0.0
blue by 1.5
3313
#33
10.30.3
15.315.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed