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Red40
66289.7
453619.0
702818.8
Blue46
302611.5
422610.4
419815.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395302060804046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#17
19.00.3
12.813.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.5
red by 3.9
15.10.8
17.716.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Second
7028
#45
18.80.3
13.714.0
Auto9.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
red by 7.3
3026
#24
11.50.8
14.113.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Third
6628
#41
9.70.3
10.510.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End0.3
blue by 0.8
4226
#46
10.40.8
14.313.5
Auto5.1
Teleop2.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned