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Red63
423918.9
327516.1
563823.9
Blue58
858613.0
250014.9
327627.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52460204060801006358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.9
17.719.6
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End2.1
blue by 3.8
27.71.8
22.924.7
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Second
18.91.9
16.618.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
red by 4.0
2500
#42
14.91.8
10.212.0
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Third
3275
#23
16.11.9
12.013.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
red by 3.0
8586
#43
13.01.8
8.810.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed