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Red55
818818.5
467416.8
466315.1
Blue62
617521.0
59296.8
245014.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5145203040607080905562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8188
#36
18.51.1
13.014.1
Auto8.5
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 2.5
6175
#22
21.00.1
14.214.2
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End1.3
Second
4674
#18
16.81.1
14.015.0
Auto7.2
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 2.6
2450
#10
14.10.1
16.916.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Third
4663
#26
15.11.1
18.419.4
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End1.8
red by 8.4
5929
#52
6.80.1
10.510.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned