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Red31
217715.0
72358.4
265413.9
Blue39
64538.4
375510.7
565811.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384102060801003139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2177
#19
15.00.4
13.212.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End2.9
red by 3.8
5658
#49
11.21.1
12.711.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Second
2654
#34
13.90.4
13.012.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.5
End1.5
red by 3.3
3755
#27
10.71.1
11.910.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End2.0
Third
7235
#32
8.40.4
8.78.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End0.9
Level
6453
#28
8.41.1
11.810.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned