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Red42
250815.3
418114.9
304211.1
Blue70
87632.5
957619.2
947414.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43652060801004270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2508
#39
15.31.1
12.611.5
Auto6.8
Teleop7.5
End1.0
blue by 17.2
876
#2
32.50.4
28.929.3
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End3.0
Second
4181
#40
14.90.7
16.415.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 4.4
9576
#15
19.20.4
15.816.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End2.0
Third
3042
#47
11.11.1
12.811.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 3.2
9474
#20
14.30.4
11.812.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned