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Red58
614625.0
419815.1
304211.1
Blue14
25498.3
767712.8
217715.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4533102030405060705814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.01.8
14.015.9
Auto9.6
Teleop13.4
End2.0
red by 10.0
2177
#19
15.02.0
10.38.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End2.9
Second
15.11.8
13.915.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.8
red by 2.3
7677
#35
12.82.0
10.38.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Third
3042
#47
11.11.8
11.613.5
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.0
red by 2.8
2549
#50
8.32.0
11.09.1
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed