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Red78
72358.4
453921.3
517224.4
Blue35
88784.8
392611.5
59296.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46310204060807835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#11
24.41.2
16.017.2
Auto6.4
Teleop17.2
End0.9
red by 13.0
3926
#31
11.50.6
13.013.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Second
4539
#30
21.31.2
14.415.6
Auto8.5
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 14.6
5929
#52
6.80.6
7.88.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Third
7235
#32
8.41.2
9.510.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End0.9
red by 3.5
8878
#55
4.80.6
9.29.8
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed