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Red51
453921.3
974519.2
422610.4
Blue66
313418.0
327627.7
467416.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586140507080905166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#30
21.30.4
22.622.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 6.3
27.71.2
24.725.9
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Second
9745
#21
19.20.4
16.716.3
Auto11.9
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 1.2
3134
#13
18.01.2
15.316.5
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Third
4226
#46
10.40.4
13.513.1
Auto5.1
Teleop2.5
End2.8
blue by 6.3
4674
#18
16.81.2
15.016.2
Auto7.2
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed