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Red23
59296.8
329326.3
64538.4
Blue35
419815.1
858613.0
66289.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514102060801002335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.32.4
23.721.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End5.7
red by 11.2
15.10.9
16.916.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Second
6453
#28
8.42.4
10.78.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End0.3
blue by 4.7
8586
#43
13.00.9
10.59.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End0.6
Third
5929
#52
6.82.4
10.58.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
blue by 2.9
6628
#41
9.70.9
10.89.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed