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Red30
250014.9
43601.5
329811.6
Blue48
265413.9
245014.1
327812.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225101030406070803048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2500
#42
14.90.7
12.012.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End1.4
red by 0.8
2450
#10
14.10.1
16.917.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Second
3298
#29
11.60.7
8.99.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 2.3
2654
#34
13.90.1
12.512.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.5
End1.5
Third
4360
#56
1.50.7
2.53.3
Auto0.0
Teleop1.2
End0.3
blue by 10.8
3278
#16
12.20.1
13.013.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed