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Red53
947414.3
563823.9
42389.5
Blue79
818818.5
217715.0
87632.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43652060801005379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.7
19.620.3
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End2.1
blue by 8.7
876
#2
32.51.4
29.330.7
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End3.0
Second
9474
#20
14.30.7
12.212.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End2.6
blue by 4.1
8188
#36
18.51.4
14.115.5
Auto8.5
Teleop8.3
End1.7
Third
4238
#53
9.50.7
9.810.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End1.1
blue by 5.5
2177
#19
15.01.4
12.814.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned