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Red61
331310.3
725720.5
327717.8
Blue61
422610.4
327627.7
288321.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5467304050607080906161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End2.5
blue by 7.2
27.7
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Second
3277
#14
17.8
Auto7.4
Teleop9.8
End0.7
blue by 4.0
2883
#12
21.8
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End2.8
Third
3313
#33
10.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 0.1
4226
#46
10.4
Auto5.1
Teleop2.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed