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Red46
704812.5
66289.7
767712.8
Blue36
250815.3
565811.2
38718.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333901020506070804636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7677
#35
12.80.6
8.89.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.7
blue by 2.6
2508
#39
15.30.3
12.612.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.5
End1.0
Second
7048
#37
12.50.6
12.012.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End0.7
red by 1.3
5658
#49
11.20.3
13.913.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Third
6628
#41
9.70.6
9.910.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End0.3
red by 0.8
3871
#51
8.90.3
8.48.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed