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Red38
392611.5
466315.1
375510.7
Blue50
546412.4
557613.0
329811.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47340204060803850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4663
#26
15.12.6
15.913.4
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End1.8
red by 2.2
5576
#48
13.01.4
12.013.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Second
3926
#31
11.52.6
13.510.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 0.9
5464
#54
12.41.4
11.012.4
Auto7.1
Teleop3.8
End1.4
Third
3755
#27
10.72.6
11.79.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End2.0
blue by 1.0
3298
#29
11.61.4
9.611.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed