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Red57
72358.4
87632.5
327812.2
Blue50
305816.9
818818.5
614625.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586340507080905750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#2
32.51.4
30.729.3
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End3.0
red by 7.5
25.00.7
24.924.1
Auto9.6
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Second
3278
#16
12.21.4
13.011.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.0
End0.3
blue by 6.2
8188
#36
18.50.7
15.514.8
Auto8.5
Teleop8.3
End1.7
Third
7235
#32
8.41.4
9.17.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End0.9
blue by 8.5
3058
#25
16.90.7
16.315.5
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed