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Red51
8778.1
702818.8
947414.3
Blue32
25498.3
253022.2
43601.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3840203050605132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#45
18.81.7
13.615.4
Auto9.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
blue by 3.4
22.20.4
22.021.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End3.1
Second
9474
#20
14.31.7
12.914.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End2.6
red by 6.0
2549
#50
8.30.4
10.09.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End0.4
Third
877
#44
8.11.7
8.810.5
Auto4.8
Teleop2.9
End0.5
red by 6.6
4360
#56
1.50.4
3.32.9
Auto0.0
Teleop1.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed