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Red58
375510.7
725720.5
329326.3
Blue25
704812.5
59296.8
302611.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6236020801001205825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.5
24.124.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End5.7
red by 13.8
7048
#37
12.51.1
12.611.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End0.7
Second
20.50.5
19.820.4
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 9.0
3026
#24
11.51.1
14.213.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Third
3755
#27
10.70.5
9.19.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End2.0
red by 3.9
5929
#52
6.81.2
9.07.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed