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Red83
563823.9
825512.3
453619.0
Blue57
557613.0
418114.9
313418.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352406070808357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.92.2
21.824.0
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End2.1
red by 5.9
3134
#13
18.00.5
17.417.8
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Second
4536
#17
19.02.2
16.518.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.5
red by 4.1
4181
#40
14.90.3
16.717.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Third
8255
#38
12.32.2
8.911.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.2
End1.8
blue by 0.7
5576
#48
13.00.5
13.413.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed