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Red66
72358.4
250815.3
974519.2
Blue56
858613.0
327812.2
546412.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42381020305060706656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9745
#21
19.21.7
17.819.5
Auto11.9
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 6.2
8586
#43
13.01.1
11.212.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End0.6
Second
2508
#39
15.31.7
12.213.9
Auto6.8
Teleop7.5
End1.0
red by 3.0
5464
#54
12.41.1
12.413.5
Auto7.1
Teleop3.8
End1.4
Third
7235
#32
8.41.7
7.69.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End0.9
blue by 3.9
3278
#16
12.21.1
11.612.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsEarned