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Red46
466315.1
767712.8
858613.0
Blue51
327812.2
453619.0
947414.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415302060801004651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4663
#26
15.10.7
14.014.7
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End1.8
blue by 3.8
4536
#17
19.00.5
18.618.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.5
Second
8586
#43
13.00.7
12.313.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End0.6
blue by 1.3
9474
#20
14.30.5
14.814.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Third
7677
#35
12.80.7
12.012.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.7
red by 0.5
3278
#16
12.20.5
12.712.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed