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Red49
392611.5
517224.4
327516.1
Blue61
250815.3
265413.9
818818.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58452040804961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#11
24.40.2
22.922.7
Auto6.4
Teleop17.2
End0.9
red by 6.0
8188
#36
18.51.8
16.218.0
Auto8.5
Teleop8.3
End1.7
Second
3275
#23
16.10.2
16.216.1
Auto6.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
red by 0.7
2508
#39
15.31.8
13.915.7
Auto6.8
Teleop7.5
End1.0
Third
3926
#31
11.50.2
11.611.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 2.5
2654
#34
13.91.8
12.113.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed