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Red28
43601.5
288321.8
64538.4
Blue26
59296.8
304211.1
422610.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373402060801001201401602826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#12
21.80.6
22.622.0
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End2.8
red by 10.7
3042
#47
11.11.0
12.111.1
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Second
6453
#28
8.40.5
8.98.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End0.3
blue by 2.0
4226
#46
10.41.1
11.510.4
Auto5.1
Teleop2.5
End2.8
Third
4360
#56
1.50.5
2.01.5
Auto0.0
Teleop1.2
End0.3
blue by 5.3
5929
#52
6.81.1
7.86.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed