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Red60
38718.9
87632.5
250014.9
Blue92
702818.8
329811.6
329326.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605302040801001206092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#2
32.50.2
29.729.9
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End3.0
red by 6.2
26.33.2
24.627.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End5.7
Second
2500
#42
14.90.2
14.714.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 3.9
7028
#45
18.83.2
16.019.2
Auto9.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Third
3871
#51
8.90.2
8.78.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End-0.0
blue by 2.8
3298
#29
11.63.4
8.211.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsEarned