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Red77
453619.0
563823.9
617521.0
Blue65
818818.5
614625.0
466315.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69632040801001207765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.4
23.023.4
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End2.1
blue by 1.1
25.00.2
24.624.7
Auto9.6
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Second
6175
#22
21.00.4
20.120.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End1.3
red by 2.5
8188
#36
18.50.2
18.018.2
Auto8.5
Teleop8.3
End1.7
Third
4536
#17
19.00.4
18.118.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.5
red by 3.8
4663
#26
15.10.2
14.714.9
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End1.8