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Red74
517224.4
327717.8
453921.3
Blue35
419815.1
702818.8
250815.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67540204060801001207435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#11
24.40.1
22.923.1
Auto6.4
Teleop17.2
End0.9
red by 5.6
7028
#45
18.80.5
19.318.8
Auto9.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Second
4539
#30
21.30.1
19.820.0
Auto8.5
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 6.0
2508
#39
15.30.5
15.815.3
Auto6.8
Teleop7.5
End1.0
Third
3277
#14
17.80.2
16.216.4
Auto7.4
Teleop9.8
End0.7
red by 2.7
15.10.5
15.615.1
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.8