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Red67
31923.5
318222.6
17224.3
Blue117
314627.5
346746.7
13341.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661235010015067117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#44
24.30.3
21.521.2
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End2.5
blue by 22.4
46.70.5
43.443.9
Auto14.1
Teleop30.1
End2.5
Second
319
#31
23.50.3
24.023.7
Auto5.3
Teleop16.8
End1.5
blue by 18.2
133
#3
41.70.5
37.938.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End7.5
Third
3182
#41
22.60.3
20.720.4
Auto9.2
Teleop10.7
End2.7
blue by 4.9
27.50.5
23.123.6
Auto10.2
Teleop14.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsEarned