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Red68
71624.1
172922.6
346121.6
Blue96
16631.9
12544.4
99926.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67120501001502006896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#22
24.10.1
23.823.9
Auto11.1
Teleop11.2
End1.7
blue by 20.3
125
#1
44.40.8
38.337.5
Auto17.4
Teleop20.8
End6.2
Second
1729
#24
22.60.1
21.021.1
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End2.2
blue by 9.3
166
#30
31.90.8
33.432.6
Auto8.5
Teleop20.3
End3.1
Third
3461
#36
21.60.1
22.222.2
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End0.6
blue by 5.0
999
#17
26.60.8
30.830.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned