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Red97
237030.5
105832.8
66317.7
Blue96
12622.6
23630.0
673125.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86790501001509796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#16
32.81.3
30.331.6
Auto12.2
Teleop18.2
End2.4
red by 2.8
236
#12
30.01.6
27.929.5
Auto10.9
Teleop9.6
End9.5
Second
2370
#14
30.51.3
25.927.3
Auto7.5
Teleop20.5
End2.5
red by 4.9
6731
#26
25.61.6
24.025.6
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Third
663
#34
17.71.3
20.922.2
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End3.3
blue by 4.8
126
#21
22.61.6
20.121.7
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned62%Ensemble oddsEarned