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Red68
17525.4
24621.6
581335.7
Blue78
404121.5
287624.6
115332.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858570758090956878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#11
35.70.6
33.933.3
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End5.4
red by 3.0
32.70.1
28.228.3
Auto12.7
Teleop16.1
End4.0
Second
175
#6
25.40.6
23.723.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.9
red by 0.8
2876
#29
24.60.1
27.827.9
Auto11.3
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Third
246
#38
21.60.6
19.719.0
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End0.5
red by 0.1
4041
#42
21.50.1
20.921.0
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsMissed