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Red82
573531.7
318222.6
632943.8
Blue98
13134.0
105832.8
23630.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109990501502008298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#13
43.81.0
46.745.7
Auto12.8
Teleop28.5
End2.5
red by 9.8
131
#2
34.00.1
29.930.0
Auto12.6
Teleop14.8
End6.6
Second
5735
#25
31.71.0
30.629.5
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End2.4
blue by 1.1
1058
#16
32.80.1
31.631.8
Auto12.2
Teleop18.2
End2.4
Third
3182
#41
22.61.0
20.419.4
Auto9.2
Teleop10.7
End2.7
blue by 7.4
236
#12
30.00.1
29.529.6
Auto10.9
Teleop9.6
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed76%Ensemble oddsEarned