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Red79
174029.4
31923.5
964419.6
Blue75
7834.4
404121.5
66317.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77880501001502007975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1740
#18
29.40.2
29.529.7
Auto12.0
Teleop13.5
End3.8
blue by 5.0
78
#10
34.40.2
34.834.6
Auto9.6
Teleop21.3
End3.5
Second
319
#31
23.50.2
23.723.9
Auto5.3
Teleop16.8
End1.5
red by 2.1
4041
#42
21.50.2
21.020.8
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Third
9644
#33
19.60.2
18.018.2
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.5
red by 1.8
663
#34
17.70.2
22.222.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned