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Red64
15520.3
870817.9
5831.5
Blue61
9521.0
318222.6
174029.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71832040601001206461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#5
31.51.0
30.629.6
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End2.2
red by 2.1
1740
#18
29.41.2
29.728.6
Auto12.0
Teleop13.5
End3.8
Second
155
#35
20.31.0
22.121.0
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 2.3
3182
#41
22.61.2
19.418.2
Auto9.2
Teleop10.7
End2.7
Third
8708
#39
17.91.0
12.911.9
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 3.1
95
#28
21.01.2
24.523.3
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsMissed