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Red71
24621.6
31923.5
404121.5
Blue115
693328.2
632943.8
23630.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6312605010015071115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#31
23.50.1
23.924.0
Auto5.3
Teleop16.8
End1.5
blue by 20.2
6329
#13
43.81.0
45.744.6
Auto12.8
Teleop28.5
End2.5
Second
246
#38
21.60.1
19.419.6
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End0.5
blue by 8.4
236
#12
30.01.0
29.628.6
Auto10.9
Teleop9.6
End9.5
Third
4041
#42
21.50.1
20.820.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.0
blue by 6.7
6933
#40
28.21.0
30.829.8
Auto12.0
Teleop14.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed75%Ensemble oddsEarned