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Red113
346746.7
9521.0
99926.6
Blue75
404121.5
740734.8
404827.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10892608010012014016011375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.7
42.843.4
Auto14.1
Teleop30.1
End2.5
red by 11.9
34.80.7
30.629.9
Auto11.5
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Second
999
#17
26.60.7
30.130.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.1
End2.6
blue by 0.9
4048
#37
27.50.7
33.232.5
Auto11.3
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Third
95
#28
21.00.7
23.023.7
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End3.0
blue by 0.4
4041
#42
21.50.7
21.620.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed69%Ensemble oddsEarned