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Red73
23630.0
107118.0
314627.5
Blue101
172922.6
964419.6
12544.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7379406010012073101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#12
30.00.4
27.527.9
Auto10.9
Teleop9.6
End9.5
blue by 14.4
125
#1
44.42.0
36.238.3
Auto17.4
Teleop20.8
End6.2
Second
27.50.4
22.723.1
Auto10.2
Teleop14.2
End3.1
red by 5.0
1729
#24
22.62.0
19.021.0
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Third
1071
#43
18.00.4
16.316.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.7
blue by 1.6
9644
#33
19.62.0
15.217.2
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned52%Ensemble oddsEarned